MLB Picks & Betting Analysis — August 13, 2026
Sharp MLB player prop analysis for August 13, 2026. Model sits at 59.2% on 620 picks. See today's five key plays.
Thursday's MLB slate is loaded with player prop opportunities, and our model has flagged five names worth putting on your radar. Here's the breakdown of today's angles, backed by recent performance data and situational context.
Today's Top Plays
Trevor Larnach — Total Hits, Runs and RBIs Under 1.5: Larnach has been inconsistent against right-handed pitching lately, and today's matchup projects as a tough one. With a lineup slot that limits plate appearances and a recent cold stretch at the plate, the model sees value in the under here.
Esteury Ruiz — Total Hits, Runs and RBIs Over 0.5: Ruiz is one of the most active table-setters in baseball, and this line only asks him to register a single combined contribution. His speed and on-base tendencies make him a strong candidate to clear this threshold, even on a quiet day.
Hunter Feduccia — Total Hits, Runs and RBIs Over 0.5: Feduccia has been quietly productive behind the plate, and the model likes his spot in today's lineup against a starter who has struggled to limit contact to left-handed hitters. One hit or run contribution is a reasonable ask.
Chase DeLauter — Total Hits, Runs and RBIs Over 1.5: This is the model's highest-conviction play of the day. DeLauter has been on a strong run of multi-contribution games, and today's pitching matchup sets up favorably. The model projects him as a good candidate to post multiple combined stats across hits, runs, and RBIs.
Taylor Ward — Total Hits, Runs and RBIs Under 1.5: Ward's numbers have dipped significantly over the past two weeks, and he draws a tough pitching matchup today. With his recent struggles making contact and a lineup position that may limit RBI opportunities, the model favors the under.
About the Model & Recent Performance
Our player prop model currently sits at 367-253 across 620 settled picks, good for a 59.2% win rate. While the unit return of -18.72 reflects the importance of line shopping and smart sizing, the directional accuracy remains well above the break-even threshold. No model is perfect, and past performance never guarantees future results — but a sustained 59%+ hit rate over a large sample is a meaningful signal worth tracking.
- Always compare lines across multiple sportsbooks before placing any wager.
- Player props can shift quickly — check for lineup confirmations and injury news before game time.
- Manage your bankroll responsibly; even high-accuracy models experience losing stretches.
See today's full card