NBA prediction
Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors prediction
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Odds
| Moneyline | Miami Heat +220 · Golden State Warriors -290 |
| Spread | Golden State Warriors -7.5 |
| Total | 235 |
Latest line across FanDuel, Bovada.
Matchup
Miami Heat visit Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 9:00 PM CT, on NBA TV.
On the moneyline the market favors Golden State Warriors at -290, with Miami Heat at +220 — once the bookmaker margin is removed, that prices Golden State Warriors at about 70% to win.
The spread has Golden State Warriors at -7.5 and Miami Heat at +7.5.
The game total is 235.
The total has moved down from 235.5 since we first tracked it.
Our NBA record
| All-time | 22-15 (59%) · 1 push |
| This season (since Sep 1, 2026) | 22-15 (59%) |
| Last 14 days | 16-12 (57%) |
Win rate and record of every NBA pick sent to members on the current model, graded after the final whistle. Full track record →
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