Predictions / College Football
NCAAF prediction

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans prediction

Final · Illinois Fighting Illini 38, Michigan State Spartans 37
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Last line before the game

MoneylineIllinois Fighting Illini -140 · Michigan State Spartans +114
SpreadMichigan State Spartans +2.5
Total48

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Matchup

Illinois Fighting Illini visited Michigan State Spartans at Spartan Stadium on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM CT, on FS1.

Illinois Fighting Illini came in at 3-3; Michigan State Spartans were 2-4.

On the moneyline the market favors Illinois Fighting Illini at -140, with Michigan State Spartans at +114 — once the bookmaker margin is removed, that prices Illinois Fighting Illini at about 56% to win.

The spread has Michigan State Spartans at +2.5 and Illinois Fighting Illini at -2.5.

That line has moved from Michigan State Spartans +3.5 when we first tracked it.

The game total is 48.

The total has moved down from 50 since we first tracked it.

Final: Illinois Fighting Illini 38, Michigan State Spartans 37. Illinois Fighting Illini won.

Our NCAAF record

All-time14-17 (45%) · 1 push
This season (since Aug 1, 2026)14-17 (45%)
Last 14 days2-3 (40%)

Win rate and record of every NCAAF pick sent to members on the current model, graded after the final whistle. Full track record →

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