Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans prediction
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Last line before the game
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys +130 · Houston Texans -205 |
| Spread | Houston Texans -3.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
Latest line across Bovada, FanDuel.
Matchup
Dallas Cowboys visited Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM CT, on Fox.
Dallas Cowboys came in at 2-2; Houston Texans were 0-4.
On the moneyline the market favors Houston Texans at -205, with Dallas Cowboys at +130 — once the bookmaker margin is removed, that prices Houston Texans at about 61% to win.
The spread has Houston Texans at -3.5 and Dallas Cowboys at +3.5.
That line has moved from Houston Texans -3 when we first tracked it.
The game total is 47.5.
The total has moved down from 48 since we first tracked it.
Final: Dallas Cowboys 34, Houston Texans 30. Dallas Cowboys won.
Our NFL record
| All-time | 8-9 (47%) |
| This season (since Aug 1, 2026) | 8-9 (47%) |
| Last 14 days | 1-4 (20%) |
Win rate and record of every NFL pick sent to members on the current model, graded after the final whistle. Full track record →