Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction
Free pick
A free pick — the same play, at the line it was posted at.
Every graded pick, player props and the confidence behind each one, before the games start.
Last line before the game
| Moneyline | Indianapolis Colts +235 · Kansas City Chiefs -290 |
| Spread | Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
Latest line across FanDuel, Bovada.
Matchup
Indianapolis Colts visited Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 7:20 PM CT, on NBC.
Indianapolis Colts came in at 0-2; Kansas City Chiefs were 2-0.
On the moneyline the market favors Kansas City Chiefs at -290, with Indianapolis Colts at +235 — once the bookmaker margin is removed, that prices Kansas City Chiefs at about 71% to win.
The spread has Kansas City Chiefs at -6.5 and Indianapolis Colts at +6.5.
The game total is 45.5.
The total has moved down from 46.5 since we first tracked it.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 30, Kansas City Chiefs 33. Kansas City Chiefs won.
Our NFL record
| All-time | 8-9 (47%) |
| This season (since Aug 1, 2026) | 8-9 (47%) |
| Last 14 days | 1-4 (20%) |
Win rate and record of every NFL pick sent to members on the current model, graded after the final whistle. Full track record →