Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction
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Last line before the game
| Moneyline | Washington Capitals +137 · Tampa Bay Lightning -200 |
| Spread | Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 |
| Total | 6 |
Latest line across Bovada, FanDuel.
Matchup
Washington Capitals visited Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM CT, on ESPN+.
On the moneyline the market favors Tampa Bay Lightning at -200, with Washington Capitals at +137 — once the bookmaker margin is removed, that prices Tampa Bay Lightning at about 61% to win.
The spread has Tampa Bay Lightning at -1.5 and Washington Capitals at +1.5.
The game total is 6.
The total has moved down from 6.5 since we first tracked it.
Final: Washington Capitals 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3. Tampa Bay Lightning won.
Our NHL record
| All-time | 41-22 (65%) · 1 push |
| This season (since Sep 1, 2026) | 41-22 (65%) |
| Last 14 days | 19-9 (68%) |
Win rate and record of every NHL pick sent to members on the current model, graded after the final whistle. Full track record →